Compare cities · September 2026
Tonka Bay vs. Victoria
Homes in Tonka Bay sold for a median $1,085,000 over the 12 months through September 2026, 75% more than in Victoria ($618,300). Homes sold faster in Tonka Bay: 41 days on market on average, against 49 in Victoria. Victoria's homes are newer, with a median year built of 2006 against 1982. Tonka Bay is closer to downtown Minneapolis: about 33 minutes by car, against 36. The two are about 5 miles apart, roughly a 15-minute drive.
Housing market, 12 months through September 2026
| Measure | Tonka Bay | Victoria |
|---|---|---|
| Median sale price | $1,085,000 | $618,300 |
| Change from a year earlier | −14.1% | −2.1% |
| Homes sold | 19 | 255 |
| Days on market | 41 | 49 |
| Share of original list price | 96.1% | 98.9% |
| Price per square foot | $495 | $237 |
| New listings | 39 | 391 |
| Homes for sale (September 2026) | 10 | 54 |
| Months of supply (September 2026) | 4.8 | 2.6 |
Source: Minneapolis Area REALTORS® Local Market Update (NorthstarMLS data).
The homes
| Measure | Tonka Bay | Victoria |
|---|---|---|
| Median home value (owner estimate) | $917,100 | $581,200 |
| Median year built | 1982 | 2006 |
| Single-family homesShare of all housing units, detached houses | 94% | 96% |
| Owner-occupied homes | 81% | 94% |
| Median rent | $2,320 | $2,235 |
Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020–2024.
The place
| Measure | Tonka Bay | Victoria |
|---|---|---|
| Population (2024) | 1,540 | 11,937 |
| Land area | 0.9 sq mi | 9.1 sq mi |
| Drive to Downtown Minneapolis | 33 min | 36 min |
| Drive to Downtown Saint Paul | 46 min | 46 min |
| Drive to MSP Airport | 38 min | 34 min |
| Drive to Mall of America | 34 min | 30 min |
| Drive to University of Minnesota | 37 min | 40 min |
| Average commute to work | 25.7 min | 34.9 min |
| Lakes of 10+ acresMinnesota DNR lake outlines touching the city | 1 | 11 |
Source: US Census Bureau 2024 estimates and TIGER/Line; drive times from OpenStreetMap routing (light traffic).
Tonka Bay
School districts: Minnetonka Public School District
Largest lakes: Lake Minnetonka (14,206 acres)
Victoria
School districts: Eastern Carver County Public Schools, Waconia Public School District, Minnetonka Public School District
Largest lakes: Lake Minnetonka (14,206 acres), Lake Auburn (291 acres), Zumbra-Sunny Lake (271 acres), Wassermann Lake (170 acres), Steiger Lake (166 acres)
How we compare places: by their homes, housing market and location only, from public sources, never by who lives there. Medians describe the middle home; both places have homes well above and below them.
Quick answers
Tonka Bay or Victoria?
Is Tonka Bay or Victoria more expensive?
Tonka Bay. The median sale price was $1,085,000 there and $618,300 in Victoria over the 12 months through September 2026, according to the Minneapolis Area REALTORS® Local Market Update. The median is the middle sale, so both have homes well above and below it.
Where do homes sell faster, Tonka Bay or Victoria?
Tonka Bay: 41 days on market on average against 49, over the 12 months through September 2026.
Which is closer to downtown Minneapolis?
Tonka Bay, about 33 minutes by car in light traffic (36 from Victoria). To downtown Saint Paul: 46 minutes from Tonka Bay, 46 from Victoria.
How far apart are Tonka Bay and Victoria?
About 5 miles in a straight line between their centers, or roughly 15 minutes by car.
Which has more lakes, Tonka Bay or Victoria?
Victoria has more: 1 lakes of 10+ acres touch Tonka Bay (largest: Lake Minnetonka) and 11 touch Victoria (largest: Lake Minnetonka), by Minnesota DNR lake outlines.
Which school districts serve Tonka Bay and Victoria?
Tonka Bay: Minnetonka Public School District. Victoria: Eastern Carver County Public Schools, Waconia Public School District and Minnetonka Public School District. School district lines don't follow city lines, so check the district for a specific address before you buy.
Should I buy in Tonka Bay or Victoria?
It depends on your budget, the kind of home you want and where you need to get to each day. This page compares the homes, prices and locations; a Huerkamp Home Group agent can show you homes in both and walk you through what's selling now.
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Deciding between them?
See homes in Tonka Bay and Victoria.
A Huerkamp Home Group agent can show you homes in both, tell you what's selling and for how much right now, and help you decide. There's no cost to buyers.